UFC: Dont waste your time with pirates

Dana White wants to lay down the law on people illegally streaming UFC events online.

So does everyone else.

The music industry attempted to take on music pirates and looked like idiots doing it.

The movie industry attempted to take on pirates and are utterly unsuccessful in doing so.

Game developers try their hardest to thwart pirating, but they are really only trying to buy a few months time around their launch date.

The UFC needs to learn that their audience dictates how they want their content.

The music industry finally got the picture, after years and years of trying to fight digital distribution of media, projects like iTunes and Amazon Music store thrive.

On demand video content is big business that will only get bigger with faster internet speeds showing up everywhere.

Piracy, like drug dealing, is a product of demand.  If you prosecute and incarcerate every current drug dealer in the St Louis area, is the drug problem cured?  No.  Because the demand still exists, therefore a supplier will appear.

A hard concept to grasp is not every person who pirates your content would have actually paid for it without the means of pirating it.

If there is an issue, you need to re-evaluate your business model, not call the FBI.

Asking people to spend $45-55 12 to 14 times per year is significant.  Sure, they put some great fights on Spike TV for free.  And yes, 4-5 guys throwing in $10 on a UFC is a fair price, especially with the card delivers like UFC 108.

I personally struggle dropping $55 for the HD version of a show that I am going to miss because of a previous obligation or something, only to watch DVR’d at a later date.  If it’s not a live event, the hype is no longer there.  Even though I’ve gone out of the way not to be spoiled on the outcomes of the fights, I hear about them in blog post titles, facebook statuses, tweets, espn news ticker and random conversations.  Now, I would expect to pay similarly to the price of movie rental, like $5-10.

Here’s a random idea, have a UFC membership that means something.

$25/month per person

  • PPV credits for 6 UFC pay-per-views a year (put two together or share the cost of a PPV with another member)
  • Reduced cost DVD/Bluray copy of the PPVs they have ordered
  • Free on-demand fights for every show 3 months or older
  • Discounted UFC tickets and/or accommodations
  • Some special features/characters integration with UFC ’09/’10 video game
  • Promotions directly to UFC sponsor websites

I buy 4-5 UFC PPV’s a year when I can organize a group of people to watch it. I frequently hit up Buffalo Wild Wings to watch the fights as well.  But, my total contribution to PPV buys and the UFC is probably in the $250-300/annual range.

Ironically, thats exactly what my direct contribution would be with a subscription plus I would be opening up a channel to market directly to me all year long, which is a gold mine for sponsors.

Things like:

  • Knowing who my favorite fighters are
  • Do I train mma or wrestling/bjj/boxing/muay thai
  • Do I have an Xbox live account
  • Twitter integration
  • Facebook integration
  • Geographic info
  • Demographic info

I think its a smarter investment to develop your brand and give your customers value, then to spend that effort defending against an inevitable threat of theft.  Sure, it sucks that your valuable product isn’t paid for by all, but attacking justin.tv isn’t even scratching the surface of effectively ending this problem.

The best solution is to keep adding value that only subscribers reap the rewards of.  Not alienating the fans that are buying the PPV’s, but promoting this as a valuable deal to keep the fighters paid and the cards stacked.

Xbox Live is a good example to follow.

UFC 106 Predictions

Mike & Mike in the morning on ESPN Radio, have the Predictions sure to go wrong segment at the end of their show on Friday (maybe everyday).  That’s what inspired this post, as this UFC is impossible to predict for a variety of reasons.

One glaring reason being UFC judges huff paint between rounds while watching the fights.

Tito Ortiz vs. Forrest Griffin

This one is the most difficult to know anything about, even though it is a rematch of a split decision fight 3+ years ago.  In that fight Tito dominated round one and did nothing for rounds two and three and still got the nod.  This fight wasn’t supposed to be the main event and it wasn’t supposed to be Griffin (Mark Coleman backed out due to injury).

Tito hasn’t been in a fight in a long time.  He has since had back surgery, had kids and made random appearances teasing a fight in nearly every MMA organization on the planet.  Two of which no longer exist.

Forrest has lost two straight fights, including a complete destruction against Anderson Silva (knocked down 3x in the first round).  The last I saw of him he was sprinting backstage in embarrassment.  Typically, I’d argue he needs a win more, but Silva can make anyone look that bad.

Forrest is a bad matchup for Tito.  I have a very difficult time saying he will lose his third straight fight, but Tito must make it an entertaining/competitive fight.

Tito Ortiz by unanimous decision.


Josh Koscheck vs. Anthony Johnson

Anthony Johnson is friggin’ huge.  I heard somewhere (maybe during the UFC 104 broadcast) he walks around at about 220lb and cuts to 170lb to fight.  That’s insane.

Sometimes I get the feeling Koscheck likes to test himself standing up even though the takedown / ground and pound is where he is most effective.  I doubt he decides to do that in this fight, even though a takedown on a guy that will be 10-15lb heavier and stronger by fight time might not be automatic.

Johnson has lost by rear necked choke and eye poke (in a fight he was winning).

Koscheck by unanimous decision.


Antonio Rogerio Nogueira vs. Luis Arthur Cane

This one ends in a knockout.

Most heavyweight fights not involving Fedor seem boring to me, but I’d expect fireworks here.

Rogerio has 3 losses, Vlad Matyushenko (which he avenged), Shogun (everyone including Machida lose to him) and a flash KO from Soukoudjou. if you ran Rogerio vs. Soukoudjou 10x, I think Antonio wins 8x.

The deeper this fight goes, the bigger edge Nogueira has.

Little Nog by Technical Knockout in Round 2


Dustin Hazelett vs. Karo Parisyan

This one is a stone cold lock.

Hazelett by phone call. 0:00 Rd1

Amir Sadollah vs. Phil Baroni

I haven’t figured out Sadollah yet.  I think I’ve picked against him in every fight from his first fight in TUF to his last fight vs. Hendricks.

Baroni is ridiculously powerful.  So much muscle soaking up all that oxygen is usually his demise.  I’m surprised he’s back in the UFC, to tell you the truth.  I love watching his fights, before he gases out.

I think the UFC is throwing their TUF winner a softball here though.  He can’t lose back to back fights with no pro fights prior to his TUF win.  It would be difficult to promote a 1-2 fighter in future UFC’s I think.

Sadollah by submission (triangle) in round 2.


I’m just going to make the rest of this quick.

Marcus Davis vs. Ben Saunders
Paulo Thiago vs. Jacob Volkmann
Kendall Grove vs. Jake Rosholt
Brock Larson vs. Brian Foster
Caol Uno vs. Fabricio Camoes
George Sotiropoulos vs. Jason Dent


I should get at least 3 fights correct.